Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008540 0.009626 0.010817 0.012223 0.013841 0.015649 0.017831
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006894 0.008378 0.010152 0.012441 0.015338 0.018910 0.023689
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005906 0.007536 0.009596 0.012418 0.016227 0.021251 0.028485
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.005022 0.006652 0.008802 0.011887 0.016269 0.022372 0.031699
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004502 0.006160 0.008431 0.011827 0.016875 0.024260 0.036185
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004273 0.006028 0.008519 0.012395 0.018414 0.027654 0.043409
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003810 0.005505 0.007982 0.011957 0.018353 0.028563 0.046770
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003451 0.005097 0.007566 0.011644 0.018428 0.029663 0.050570
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003217 0.004855 0.007374 0.011655 0.019013 0.031656 0.056218
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003122 0.004815 0.007490 0.012173 0.020504 0.035388 0.065668
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002914 0.004577 0.007261 0.012080 0.020901 0.037188 0.071658
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002766 0.004425 0.007158 0.012188 0.021667 0.039761 0.079626
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002561 0.004165 0.006863 0.011943 0.021785 0.041179 0.085599
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002448 0.004056 0.006822 0.012166 0.022839 0.044640 0.096830
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002310 0.003890 0.006662 0.012142 0.023395 0.047137 0.106324
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002115 0.003607 0.006267 0.011625 0.022872 0.047236 0.110010
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002000 0.003462 0.006114 0.011567 0.023305 0.049511 0.119654
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001974 0.003475 0.006256 0.012120 0.025130 0.055250 0.139718
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001830 0.003259 0.005942 0.011693 0.024713 0.055603 0.145011
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001712 0.003084 0.005696 0.011388 0.024542 0.056534 0.152184
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001639 0.002989 0.005601 0.011399 0.025109 0.059410 0.165838
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001622 0.003003 0.005725 0.011904 0.026929 0.065836 0.192197
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001546 0.002895 0.005590 0.011813 0.027263 0.068331 0.206455